Carlyle Group Stock Performance

CG Stock  USD 53.54  4.14  7.18%   
Carlyle has a performance score of 1 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 2.23, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Carlyle will likely underperform. Carlyle Group right now shows a risk of 2.4%. Please confirm Carlyle Group semi variance, rate of daily change, and the relationship between the value at risk and kurtosis , to decide if Carlyle Group will be following its price patterns.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Carlyle Group are ranked lower than 1 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly stable technical and fundamental indicators, Carlyle is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price disturbance, may contribute to mid-run losses for the stockholders. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(7.17)
Five Day Return
(12.91)
Year To Date Return
(12.03)
Ten Year Return
357.61
All Time Return
142.81
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0243
Payout Ratio
0.3483
Forward Dividend Rate
1.4
Dividend Date
2026-02-20
Ex Dividend Date
2026-02-13
 
Carlyle dividend paid on 19th of November 2025
11/19/2025
1
Heitman Closes Record Fund as Property Market Dislocation Creates Openings
01/20/2026
2
Sedgwick Launches new Tow and Storage Negotiation Service
01/28/2026
3
Gold, silver plunge after Fed chair announced
02/02/2026
4
Carlyle Commodities Announces Second Increase of Private Placement to 4,150,000 in Connection with Proposed Transaction with Silver Pony Resources
02/03/2026
5
Assessing Carlyle Group Valuation After Recent Share Price Pullback
02/04/2026
6
Carlyle To Report Earnings Tomorrow Here Is What To Expect
02/05/2026
7
Carlyle Q4 2025 Earnings Call Transcript
02/06/2026
8
Carlyle Shares Gain 5.9 percent as Q4 Earnings Meet Estimates, AUM Rises YY
02/09/2026
9
14,676 Shares in Carlyle Group Inc. CG Purchased by Waterway Wealth Management LLC
02/10/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow1.4 B
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-77.6 M

Carlyle Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  5,333  in Carlyle Group on November 14, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  21.00  from holding Carlyle Group or generate 0.39% return on investment over 90 days. Carlyle Group is generating 0.0352% of daily returns and assumes 2.4038% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Put differently, 21% of stocks are less risky than Carlyle on the basis of their historical return distribution, and some 99% of all equities are expected to be superior in generating returns on investments over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon Carlyle is expected to generate 2.98 times less return on investment than the market. In addition to that, the company is 3.11 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.01 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.14 per unit of volatility.

Carlyle Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Carlyle Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 53.54 90 days 53.54 
about 86.56
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Carlyle to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 86.56 (This Carlyle Group probability density function shows the probability of Carlyle Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.23 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Carlyle will likely underperform. Additionally Carlyle Group has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Carlyle Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Carlyle

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Carlyle Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
51.1653.5555.94
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
53.0955.4857.87
Details
18 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
63.9470.2778.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.901.091.17
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Carlyle. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Carlyle's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Carlyle's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Carlyle Group.

Carlyle Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Carlyle is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Carlyle's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Carlyle Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Carlyle within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.15
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.23
σ
Overall volatility
4.35
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

Carlyle Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Carlyle for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Carlyle Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Carlyle Group reports about 1.61 B in cash with (759.5 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 4.42.
Roughly 66.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: 14,676 Shares in Carlyle Group Inc. CG Purchased by Waterway Wealth Management LLC

Carlyle Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Carlyle Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Carlyle's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Carlyle's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding370.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments3.2 B

Carlyle Fundamentals Growth

Carlyle Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Carlyle, and Carlyle fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Carlyle Stock performance.

About Carlyle Performance

By analyzing Carlyle's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Carlyle's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Carlyle has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Carlyle has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand(10.99)(11.54)
Return On Tangible Assets 0.03  0.05 
Return On Capital Employed 0.06  0.11 
Return On Assets 0.03  0.05 
Return On Equity 0.11  0.11 

Things to note about Carlyle Group performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Carlyle for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Carlyle Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Carlyle Group reports about 1.61 B in cash with (759.5 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 4.42.
Roughly 66.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: 14,676 Shares in Carlyle Group Inc. CG Purchased by Waterway Wealth Management LLC
Evaluating Carlyle's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Carlyle's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Carlyle's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Carlyle's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Carlyle's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Carlyle's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Carlyle's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Carlyle's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Carlyle's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Carlyle's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Carlyle's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

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When running Carlyle's price analysis, check to measure Carlyle's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Carlyle is operating at the current time. Most of Carlyle's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Carlyle's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Carlyle's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Carlyle to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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